About this site
DBA Trading is an independent publication launched in January 2024 by Stewart Robinson. If you subscribe today, you'll get full access to the website as well as email newsletters about new content when it's available. Your subscription makes this site possible, and allows DBA Trading to continue to exist. Thank you!
Firstly, I am not an Investment Adviser. I am studying to pass a Series 65 and I may register as an Investment Adviser in South Dakota pursuant to passing the exam. Everything presented on this web site is for your information and entertainment only. If you wish to use my trading strategy to invest, please consult with the appropriate experts in the field. I am not a CPA, a Lawyer, or any other professional in this field. I make my living as a software engineer, which means that I get to take the "problem domain" - in this case trading - and translate it into working software source code (what is used to produce this website).
I have been operating by the belief that you could predict markets using "math". I committed myself to learning how to do this 25 years ago. In 2018, I came up with the core study that I call the "algorithm" here. I have added some additional rules to validate the "signals" that are generated, and then implemented the back end of what publishes the signals on this web site.
After a quarter of a century of work, I have something usable that ticks all the boxes off for my original objectives:
- Risk management through diversification.
- Win more than you lose (size).
- Win more than you lose (frequency).
- Tax advantages due to the long term nature of the trades.
- Brokerage fee advantages because of the reduced amount of trading necessary.
I have tried using fundamentals, technical analysis, and other people's systems. I have used Neural Nets and Genetic algorithms to try and predict markets. I figured out some time back, that if I could come up with a reasonable theory of market behavior and back it up with math, that this worked the best. I have tried the complex and the simple. I discovered reliable patterns that have been overlooked and not taught about markets, but worked like picking up dimes in front of bull dozers. Over and over again when I tried to apply something specific, it did not work very well, or it would work ok until it didn't. Along the way I picked up many valuable clues that I eventually synthesized into what you see here.
So after 25 years of work on this, I am poised to become an over night success (HaHa ROFLMAO). Seriously though, I don't know exactly what my plans are for this algorithm, but it has been placed in my care by the almighty. The first step in many possible paths is to prove that it works. That is why YOU are here. Thank you for your eyes and any suggestions or comments you might have are welcome.
In any market, conditions can change. I have applied back testing back to 2010. I intend to perform further studies with whatever data I can get to validate that the "algorithm" works. Past results, are no guarantee of the future outcome.
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I will be updating the web site daily with the signals that are generated by my algorithm before the trading day starts on which they are applicable.
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In the future this may change
Remember the purpose of this web site is to prove that the algorithm works. I may use the algorithm to create a Hedge Fund, an Advisory Service, to support my becoming an Investment Adviser, etc. The ultimate outcome is uncertain. I will pledge that when the time comes to discontinue this website, if you provide me a list of the information you actually used, I will provide the exit signal when it occurs. I also welcome your feedback as to how this information should be used.